| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.60 | 76.8% | 51.15 | 22.6% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.50 | 75.5% | 60.00 | 23.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.13 | 74.0% | 60.00 | 25.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.93 | 72.3% | 60.00 | 26.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.94 | 70.6% | 60.00 | 28.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.18 | 68.8% | 60.00 | 30.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.69 | 66.9% | 60.00 | 32.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.53 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 34.1% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.74 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →