| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.22 | 59.8% | 30.61 | 60.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.82 | 40.3% | 17.67 | 59.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.93 | 39.0% | 25.34 | 60.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.33 | 61.0% | 39.23 | 61.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.72 | 59.0% | 60.00 | 60.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.29 | 56.5% | 60.00 | 57.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.62 | 53.8% | 60.00 | 55.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.89 | 50.9% | 60.00 | 52.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →