| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.25 | 65.0% | 60.00 | 33.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.42 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 36.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.04 | 60.6% | 60.00 | 38.2% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.19 | 58.1% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.00 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 43.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.62 | 52.8% | 60.00 | 45.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.27 | 49.9% | 60.00 | 48.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 128.24 | 46.8% | 60.00 | 51.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →