| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.24 | 73.9% | 60.00 | 25.4% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.06 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 26.9% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.08 | 70.5% | 60.00 | 28.6% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.93 | 68.9% | 46.81 | 30.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.29 | 67.2% | 60.00 | 31.8% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.11 | 65.5% | 38.74 | 33.8% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.06 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 35.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.48 | 61.5% | 60.00 | 37.3% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.40 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 39.6% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.92 | 56.6% | 60.00 | 42.1% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.19 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 44.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →