| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.18 | 50.9% | 39.78 | 51.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.57 | 49.5% | 22.08 | 49.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.81 | 50.8% | 10.56 | 51.0% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.54 | 49.0% | 60.00 | 50.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.25 | 47.0% | 17.03 | 47.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.01 | 52.6% | 34.75 | 46.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →