| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.95 | 69.0% | 60.00 | 30.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.44 | 67.1% | 60.00 | 31.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.24 | 65.0% | 60.00 | 33.9% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.41 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 36.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.02 | 60.6% | 60.00 | 38.2% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.17 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.98 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 43.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →