| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.56 | 80.8% | 10.96 | 19.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.26 | 80.3% | 40.36 | 19.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.89 | 19.7% | 10.21 | 20.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.83 | 18.8% | 11.62 | 19.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.93 | 81.3% | 37.35 | 18.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.26 | 80.8% | 21.21 | 19.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.15 | 80.3% | 30.62 | 19.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 145.02 | 18.9% | 27.42 | 20.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.95 | 81.9% | 27.00 | 17.8% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.38 | 81.5% | 25.56 | 18.3% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.87 | 81.1% | 18.54 | 18.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →