| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.92 | 65.4% | 18.25 | 65.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.71 | 34.2% | 21.81 | 65.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.05 | 66.1% | 19.88 | 66.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.58 | 65.6% | 12.19 | 65.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.94 | 34.4% | 5.83 | 65.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.19 | 33.5% | 21.18 | 65.8% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.52 | 66.7% | 26.38 | 67.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →