| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.96 | 67.4% | 60.00 | 68.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.89 | 65.5% | 56.90 | 66.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.43 | 64.0% | 28.43 | 64.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.80 | 62.9% | 32.57 | 63.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.37 | 61.7% | 28.62 | 62.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.08 | 60.5% | 33.33 | 61.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.36 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 146.90 | 40.8% | 60.00 | 57.4% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 161.37 | 37.2% | 60.00 | 60.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →