| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.58 | 65.6% | 51.51 | 66.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.38 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 64.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.84 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 62.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.81 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 60.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.40 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 57.7% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.75 | 53.7% | 60.00 | 55.1% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.05 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 52.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →