| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.77 | 67.7% | 28.94 | 68.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.34 | 66.8% | 24.27 | 67.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.68 | 65.8% | 31.40 | 66.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.67 | 65.0% | 16.69 | 65.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.00 | 34.9% | 10.48 | 64.7% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.60 | 34.1% | 15.54 | 65.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →