| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.47 | 57.7% | 59.73 | 59.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.28 | 56.0% | 22.54 | 56.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.28 | 54.8% | 29.20 | 55.5% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.57 | 53.3% | 37.59 | 54.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →