| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.56 | 27.9% | 32.49 | 70.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.82 | 72.6% | 49.97 | 73.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.17 | 71.5% | 32.28 | 71.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.58 | 70.1% | 60.00 | 71.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.90 | 68.3% | 60.00 | 69.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.84 | 66.4% | 51.06 | 67.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.98 | 64.5% | 60.00 | 65.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.51 | 62.4% | 58.93 | 63.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.92 | 60.0% | 60.00 | 61.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.21 | 57.6% | 60.00 | 58.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.19 | 55.0% | 60.00 | 56.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.02 | 52.2% | 60.00 | 53.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →