| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.73 | 25.0% | 8.18 | 25.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.98 | 23.7% | 24.68 | 24.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.55 | 76.8% | 35.74 | 22.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.34 | 76.1% | 19.29 | 23.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →