| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.97 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.81 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.24 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 58.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.39 | 54.4% | 60.00 | 55.7% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.28 | 52.0% | 40.20 | 53.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →