| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 154.18 | 33.7% | 51.99 | 35.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.92 | 67.5% | 28.98 | 32.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 194.46 | 30.9% | 60.00 | 33.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.85 | 71.0% | 15.51 | 28.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.74 | 28.6% | 19.07 | 29.3% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.38 | 71.6% | 37.49 | 27.9% |
| 5 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.04 | 70.7% | 24.06 | 29.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →