| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.02 | 60.7% | 27.32 | 38.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.13 | 59.6% | 28.08 | 39.9% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.26 | 57.8% | 58.51 | 41.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.80 | 55.4% | 51.41 | 43.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →