| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.34 | 85.1% | 48.79 | 14.6% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.84 | 84.5% | 22.69 | 15.3% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.06 | 84.2% | 21.10 | 15.6% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.82 | 83.5% | 60.00 | 16.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.15 | 83.0% | 11.74 | 16.9% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.77 | 82.5% | 35.30 | 17.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →