| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.51 | 55.4% | 40.15 | 43.7% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.73 | 53.2% | 55.17 | 45.5% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.21 | 50.4% | 58.62 | 48.1% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.57 | 48.0% | 37.25 | 51.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →