| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.08 | 67.0% | 50.96 | 32.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.18 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 33.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.44 | 63.3% | 38.91 | 36.0% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.35 | 62.1% | 28.77 | 37.4% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.02 | 60.6% | 48.47 | 38.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.80 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →