| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.37 | 62.3% | 60.00 | 36.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.13 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 38.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.32 | 58.1% | 31.54 | 41.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.11 | 56.9% | 22.26 | 42.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.91 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.69 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.55 | 49.4% | 60.00 | 49.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 129.78 | 46.2% | 60.00 | 52.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 139.85 | 42.9% | 60.00 | 55.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →