| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.48 | 71.0% | 60.00 | 28.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.67 | 69.2% | 60.00 | 29.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.12 | 67.3% | 60.00 | 31.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.88 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 33.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.00 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 35.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.56 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 38.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.64 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 40.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.36 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 42.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.87 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.38 | 50.3% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →