| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.55 | 54.9% | 28.86 | 44.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.51 | 44.3% | 52.46 | 45.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 146.22 | 41.0% | 60.00 | 42.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 160.50 | 37.4% | 60.00 | 39.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.52 | 34.3% | 37.54 | 35.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 193.82 | 31.0% | 60.00 | 33.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 224.93 | 26.7% | 60.00 | 28.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 271.21 | 22.1% | 60.00 | 24.5% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EFHK over its local calendar day 2026-11-10 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →