| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.63 | 51.2% | 16.72 | 48.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.11 | 50.5% | 14.19 | 49.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.40 | 49.5% | 24.95 | 49.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.27 | 48.6% | 10.34 | 51.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.47 | 47.6% | 27.37 | 51.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.91 | 46.1% | 30.38 | 53.1% |
The condition is on the daily low at station EFHK over its local calendar day 2026-11-10 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →