| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.14 | 46.5% | 60.00 | 48.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.49 | 43.8% | 37.02 | 44.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.66 | 42.5% | 7.94 | 42.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 148.04 | 40.5% | 60.00 | 42.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 157.24 | 36.9% | 58.04 | 38.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 147.70 | 33.4% | 49.39 | 35.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 202.21 | 29.7% | 60.00 | 31.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 237.06 | 25.3% | 60.00 | 27.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 290.27 | 20.7% | 60.00 | 23.1% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LBSF over its local calendar day 2026-11-10 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →