| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.99 | 49.0% | 10.77 | 49.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.29 | 48.1% | 21.80 | 48.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.46 | 46.2% | 50.58 | 47.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.70 | 54.8% | 16.27 | 44.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.20 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 45.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.79 | 50.6% | 40.37 | 48.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.08 | 49.0% | 54.44 | 50.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.73 | 46.7% | 33.98 | 47.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.77 | 44.6% | 43.61 | 45.8% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LBSF over its local calendar day 2026-11-10 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →