| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.10 | 51.8% | 14.04 | 47.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.61 | 50.8% | 26.23 | 48.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.17 | 48.6% | 49.13 | 49.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.68 | 52.2% | 20.20 | 47.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.56 | 51.0% | 28.36 | 48.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.00 | 50.0% | 14.99 | 49.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.29 | 49.9% | 21.09 | 50.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.37 | 50.2% | 19.25 | 49.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.80 | 49.6% | 27.68 | 50.3% |
The condition is on the daily high at station ESSA over its local calendar day 2026-11-10 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →