| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.14 | 49.2% | 14.33 | 50.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.99 | 50.1% | 44.56 | 51.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.28 | 48.5% | 18.56 | 49.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.29 | 46.9% | 41.87 | 48.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.51 | 45.6% | 8.43 | 45.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.61 | 45.0% | 13.31 | 45.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.59 | 43.1% | 53.65 | 44.6% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LPPT over its local calendar day 2026-11-10 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →