| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.62 | 26.8% | 34.72 | 28.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.58 | 74.4% | 8.61 | 25.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.68 | 73.5% | 60.00 | 25.7% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.73 | 26.9% | 12.56 | 27.3% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.75 | 25.9% | 15.19 | 26.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.49 | 74.0% | 54.38 | 25.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.61 | 72.7% | 40.45 | 26.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →