| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.52 | 48.6% | 27.49 | 50.7% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.90 | 46.8% | 41.63 | 52.1% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.30 | 45.2% | 20.01 | 54.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.75 | 44.2% | 15.36 | 55.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.69 | 42.8% | 33.68 | 56.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.88 | 57.9% | 12.09 | 58.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.10 | 57.3% | 16.67 | 57.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.79 | 56.2% | 35.82 | 56.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.47 | 55.0% | 16.21 | 55.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.44 | 54.2% | 19.21 | 54.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →