| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.75 | 17.8% | 10.25 | 18.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.34 | 82.5% | 22.55 | 17.3% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.41 | 81.7% | 60.00 | 17.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.69 | 80.8% | 34.51 | 18.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.78 | 80.1% | 46.26 | 19.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.06 | 79.2% | 34.12 | 20.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.09 | 78.7% | 13.46 | 21.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →