| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.68 | 40.8% | 13.34 | 41.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.10 | 59.1% | 25.45 | 40.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.71 | 58.2% | 17.28 | 41.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.58 | 57.5% | 15.85 | 42.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.98 | 56.5% | 31.04 | 42.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →