| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.70 | 65.3% | 25.94 | 34.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.23 | 64.4% | 24.64 | 35.1% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.39 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 36.0% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.00 | 60.6% | 60.00 | 38.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.15 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.77 | 56.0% | 39.66 | 43.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.28 | 54.6% | 23.10 | 44.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →