| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.93 | 77.3% | 40.93 | 22.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.79 | 76.2% | 60.00 | 23.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.31 | 74.9% | 39.20 | 24.6% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.45 | 73.7% | 60.00 | 25.5% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.69 | 72.5% | 26.60 | 27.1% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.00 | 71.6% | 41.50 | 27.9% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.63 | 70.1% | 60.00 | 29.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →