| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.73 | 80.1% | 25.42 | 19.6% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.40 | 79.7% | 12.28 | 20.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.32 | 79.2% | 38.28 | 20.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.76 | 78.2% | 60.00 | 21.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.11 | 76.8% | 60.00 | 22.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 127.15 | 22.8% | 28.93 | 23.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.20 | 77.9% | 39.89 | 21.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →