| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.53 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 32.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.47 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 34.7% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.81 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.9% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.23 | 60.3% | 25.48 | 39.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.41 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 40.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.10 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 42.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →