| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.96 | 73.0% | 54.73 | 73.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.81 | 71.7% | 40.02 | 72.3% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.41 | 70.2% | 60.00 | 71.1% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.71 | 68.4% | 60.00 | 69.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.29 | 66.5% | 60.00 | 67.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.20 | 64.4% | 60.00 | 65.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.50 | 62.2% | 60.00 | 63.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.27 | 59.8% | 60.00 | 61.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.62 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →