| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.37 | 71.6% | 58.26 | 72.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.87 | 69.9% | 60.00 | 70.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.22 | 68.0% | 60.00 | 69.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.87 | 66.0% | 60.00 | 67.0% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.85 | 63.9% | 60.00 | 65.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.25 | 61.7% | 60.00 | 62.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.13 | 59.3% | 60.00 | 60.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →