| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.95 | 66.1% | 55.51 | 67.1% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.88 | 64.3% | 51.34 | 65.2% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.23 | 62.6% | 37.73 | 63.3% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.54 | 61.8% | 7.75 | 61.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.24 | 61.0% | 34.29 | 61.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.56 | 59.1% | 60.00 | 60.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.10 | 56.5% | 60.00 | 57.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.40 | 53.9% | 60.00 | 55.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →