| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.30 | 84.2% | 60.00 | 15.4% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.73 | 83.3% | 39.78 | 16.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.74 | 82.5% | 60.00 | 17.0% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.41 | 81.6% | 35.44 | 18.0% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.13 | 80.8% | 53.43 | 18.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.66 | 79.7% | 59.49 | 19.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.50 | 78.4% | 60.00 | 20.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →