| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.26 | 74.5% | 26.26 | 25.2% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.33 | 73.7% | 33.41 | 25.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 178.34 | 25.0% | 44.66 | 26.7% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.47 | 76.4% | 17.93 | 23.4% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 160.38 | 22.4% | 35.93 | 23.8% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.00 | 78.9% | 8.68 | 21.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.55 | 78.5% | 27.90 | 21.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.17 | 21.0% | 21.01 | 21.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.08 | 19.7% | 10.86 | 20.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.89 | 80.6% | 16.02 | 19.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.84 | 80.1% | 26.32 | 19.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →