| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.94 | 71.5% | 60.00 | 72.3% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.06 | 69.7% | 60.00 | 70.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.44 | 67.8% | 60.00 | 68.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.11 | 65.9% | 60.00 | 66.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.71 | 63.9% | 50.94 | 64.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.01 | 61.8% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.86 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →