| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.01 | 61.7% | 52.44 | 37.3% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.96 | 59.6% | 51.86 | 39.3% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.22 | 58.2% | 18.17 | 41.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.15 | 56.5% | 60.00 | 42.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.45 | 53.8% | 60.00 | 44.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.69 | 51.0% | 60.00 | 47.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.82 | 49.0% | 56.80 | 50.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →