| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.17 | 60.5% | 52.17 | 61.6% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.98 | 58.3% | 60.00 | 59.5% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.90 | 55.9% | 51.90 | 57.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.20 | 54.3% | 18.57 | 54.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.41 | 52.4% | 60.00 | 53.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.45 | 49.7% | 51.44 | 51.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.17 | 47.8% | 25.40 | 48.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.97 | 45.5% | 60.00 | 47.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.56 | 42.9% | 31.16 | 43.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →