| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.47 | 72.8% | 60.00 | 73.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.88 | 71.3% | 46.95 | 71.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.37 | 70.0% | 42.23 | 70.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 11.95 | 69.2% | 8.27 | 69.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.44 | 68.1% | 59.56 | 69.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.44 | 66.5% | 42.16 | 67.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.74 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 65.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.02 | 62.8% | 42.74 | 63.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.57 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 62.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.65 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 59.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.98 | 56.0% | 53.22 | 57.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.21 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 54.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.60 | 50.6% | 60.00 | 52.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.23 | 47.5% | 60.00 | 49.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →