| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.02 | 57.9% | 29.52 | 41.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.48 | 56.8% | 19.59 | 42.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.37 | 55.4% | 43.98 | 43.6% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.33 | 54.2% | 12.09 | 45.6% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.92 | 53.5% | 16.01 | 46.1% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.50 | 52.2% | 37.35 | 46.9% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.38 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 48.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.64 | 47.9% | 17.07 | 51.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.55 | 46.3% | 42.85 | 52.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.36 | 45.0% | 6.01 | 54.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.15 | 54.5% | 27.90 | 55.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.72 | 45.2% | 30.64 | 53.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.53 | 43.6% | 27.29 | 55.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →