| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.46 | 69.4% | 60.00 | 70.3% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.42 | 67.7% | 49.02 | 68.5% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.96 | 65.9% | 56.67 | 66.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.92 | 63.9% | 60.00 | 65.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.33 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.22 | 59.3% | 60.00 | 60.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.72 | 56.8% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →