| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.09 | 52.8% | 44.41 | 46.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.81 | 48.1% | 6.16 | 48.2% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.11 | 51.0% | 42.42 | 47.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.30 | 49.3% | 29.70 | 50.0% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.83 | 48.0% | 19.12 | 51.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.90 | 47.1% | 14.56 | 52.5% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EFHK over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →