| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.81 | 50.4% | 12.01 | 49.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.50 | 49.0% | 33.57 | 49.9% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.88 | 46.7% | 55.03 | 48.2% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.48 | 44.4% | 29.95 | 45.2% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.37 | 42.9% | 22.05 | 43.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.27 | 41.4% | 29.93 | 42.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.52 | 39.5% | 33.41 | 40.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.77 | 37.5% | 32.54 | 38.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.19 | 36.3% | 6.60 | 36.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 176.10 | 34.1% | 60.00 | 36.1% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EFHK over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →