| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.74 | 48.6% | 54.78 | 50.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.46 | 52.1% | 30.45 | 52.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.44 | 50.0% | 53.25 | 51.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.15 | 48.5% | 7.35 | 48.7% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.89 | 47.8% | 18.13 | 48.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.15 | 46.8% | 21.60 | 47.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.67 | 52.6% | 48.25 | 46.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.02 | 47.9% | 22.06 | 48.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.20 | 52.1% | 21.99 | 47.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.37 | 50.8% | 31.69 | 48.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.34 | 49.6% | 16.03 | 50.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.02 | 48.2% | 37.60 | 49.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.44 | 47.0% | 9.13 | 47.2% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LBSF over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →